Yes, it's bad news, but it had to be done and all things considered a 2.8% cut in spending is much less than I was expecting. The ironic thing is that the NDP are complaining about these cuts as if they're not the reason these cuts need to be made.
Why did it have to be done? Perhaps in the context of only looking at the problem from one lens, but certainly not if you approach it from a spending and revenue problem instead of only a spending problem. I'm not a NDP supporter and I'm complaining about the cuts too.
The Blue Ribbon Panel didn't look at revenue problems at all, only spending. The ironic thing is really that everyone turns the conversation into a false dilemma (the either or argument) and frame it primarily as a political conversation instead of an economic conversation where they include all the facts and figures instead of cherry picking data. You can make reasonable cuts while still increasing revenue. If the government were smart, they could introduce a provincial sales tax and have industry on board supporting them in that change - introducing about a billion in revenue per per cent of increase. If you do it as a progressive sales tax through rebates and product exemption (children's clothes, baby food, etc etc), it isn't that bad and you can introduce it as 2% and still be better off than the rest of the country. Stable revenue is something Alberta is lacking and the future outlook and presumption that oil revenue will bounce back proves that. One of these days, a government is going to have to look at stabilizing revenue. I keep hoping every time a new government comes in that they will do it. I had high hopes that this government would be the one, but here we are.
The cuts and freezes to the public sector are not going to be good in the long term. They aren't even good right now since management cost of living in the province has been frozen for several years, including under the NDP (think Prentice introduced the freeze for management). Part of the budget was cutting the management pension plan back, which was one of the last incentives for current managers to stick with the province. I do understand it from a fiscal restraint point of view though. There were not large manpower cost gains under the NDP; that happened before they were in power. Previous to the NDP, the province had to increase manpower costs to retain staff and to attract talent away from the private sector, which drove up per-capita costs relative to the rest of the country (those stats they do show you) Now, recommendation #11 from the Blue Ribbon Panel shows that the province must be having trouble retaining management and other non-bargaining positions, because they have froze those staff for several years, while private sector salaries have not been frozen.
The NDP was injecting money into the economy via capital spending. During a downturn, that isn't a bad thing. The GDP growth in Alberta was 2.3% last year, whereas the projection for 2019 is now 0.6%. Cutting government spending likely means we are going to enter into a period of negative GDP numbers. Instead of only the oil industry being in a bad place, now everyone is going to be in a bad place of speculation.
I didn't say what my opinion on the cuts to LRT were by the way - only stated what is happening as per the budget.
@archited is absolutely correct that this budget will deepen a recession. The Federal government is going to have to step up and get a pipeline approved to enable the curtailments to end and have corporations begin spending more money in Alberta. You can cut corporate tax rates all you want, but when you limit production rates, it is hard for the oil industry to spend more money - see why Husky laid people off the other day. It goes back a few years. Why would they spend money here when there is no market access? There are compounding problems in that industry right now that have to be solved. Provincial government spending on infrastructure was one of the only things keeping our economy above water. We (as a province) are up shit creek right now no matter how you slice it. Ultimately, cutting services will get the province to balance, but there are better ways to get to balance as I mentioned earlier in this post.
Sorry for the long post.